Unión Española vs Deportes Iquique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
16º
6º
24
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 56 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 53 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 50 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 49 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 48 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 46 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 43 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 43 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 41 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 38 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 37 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 35 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 31 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 29 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 29 |
16º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
3.5% | 0.5% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
23.5% | 5% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
51% | 43% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
UNI
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HUA
2 - 2
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OHI
2 - 2
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 3
DCO
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Iquique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
IQU
0 - 3
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
COB
2 - 2
IQU
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
IQU
2 - 1
NUB
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UCH
2 - 2
IQU
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
IQU
2 - 1
PAL
35%
27%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |