Unión Española vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1994 |
UNI
1 - 2
COL
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
SAO
1 - 1
UNI
76%
15%
10%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -3 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ATM
5 - 1
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
2 - 3
UNI
52%
21%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAO
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1994 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1992 |
NOB
1 - 0
DEF
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1992 |
DEF
1 - 1
NOB
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1992 |
AME
0 - 0
DEF
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1992 |
CCP
1 - 1
DEF
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |