Unión Española vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 3
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CER
2 - 3
UNI
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
OHI
47%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
ANT
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CER
1 - 0
RAC
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CER
2 - 3
UNI
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CER
0 - 1
RIV
41%
27%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SUD
0 - 2
CER
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CER
0 - 0
JUN
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |