Unión Española vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
UNI
0 - 0
COL
49%
21%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
EME
1 - 0
UNI
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1973 |
COL
5 - 0
UNI
61%
19%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1971 |
EST
2 - 1
UNI
71%
16%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 1
COL
52%
21%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
EME
2 - 0
NAC
51%
22%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
NAC
0 - 1
EME
71%
16%
13%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |