Unión Española vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1978 |
UNI
0 - 0
PAL
63%
18%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
UNI
73%
16%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 1
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
PAL
0 - 1
UNI
56%
21%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1976 |
UNI
2 - 0
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1978 |
ATM
1 - 1
SAO
59%
24%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
ATM
0 - 0
OPE
78%
14%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1978 |
ATM
4 - 2
LON
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
LON
2 - 2
ATM
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
ATM
4 - 0
BAH
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |