Union Edelweiß vs St. Martin im Muhlreis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
10º
8º
49
1º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Edelweiß
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
SBL
1 - 0
UNI
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 2
SVF
53%
20%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
BAD
0 - 1
UNI
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 2
SPG
66%
18%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OED
4 - 0
UNI
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
St. Martin im Muhlreis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
STM
3 - 3
SVZ
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
OST
2 - 2
STM
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STM
4 - 1
GRU
53%
22%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
STM
3 - 1
SBL
75%
15%
11%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SVF
3 - 0
STM
35%
22%
44%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |