Union Edelweiß vs St. Martin im Muhlreis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
47.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
7º
4º
46
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Edelweiß
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 2
UNI
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SVZ
1 - 5
UNI
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 3
SVW
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PWD
2 - 3
UNI
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 2
OED
23%
22%
56%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
St. Martin im Muhlreis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STM
5 - 4
SVZ
72%
15%
13%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
SVW
6 - 2
STM
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -3 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
STM
3 - 0
PWD
54%
20%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OED
2 - 2
STM
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
STM
2 - 1
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |