Union Douala vs Cotonsport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
14º
12º
19
2º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
20 | 49 |
1º
|
14% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 48 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 48 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 46 |
4º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 46 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 46 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 43 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 42 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 38 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 37 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 36 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 36 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 32 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 26 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0.5% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 81% |
|
Relegation
|
37% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Douala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PWD
0 - 0
UNI
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 1
COS
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2024 |
ASF
2 - 0
UNI
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 3
GAZ
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 1
YOU
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cotonsport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAN
1 - 1
COT
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2025 |
COT
1 - 1
LES
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
COT
2 - 1
ARM
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 19 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
STR
3 - 0
COT
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 0
COT
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |