Union Deportiva Usera vs EF Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Deportiva Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATZ
2 - 3
UNI
21%
21%
58%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 0
YSB
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CFM
1 - 4
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 3
DPF
47%
20%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
UNI
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
EF Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
1 - 1
EFC
40%
24%
37%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
EFC
4 - 0
ATZ
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
EFC
2 - 3
GRI
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
YSB
0 - 3
EFC
31%
23%
46%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
EFC
3 - 3
NAV
31%
22%
48%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |