Union Deportiva Usera vs UD Móstoles Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
+142%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Deportiva Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
UNI
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
HUM
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LUL
3 - 4
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
MDE
28%
22%
50%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AVA
3 - 1
UNI
69%
18%
14%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Móstoles Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DPF
4 - 1
ATZ
67%
17%
17%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
YSB
0 - 1
DPF
56%
19%
25%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
DPF
2 - 2
CFM
25%
21%
54%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DPF
1 - 4
EFC
35%
23%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
DPF
72%
15%
13%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |