Barruelo vs Castilla Dueñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
66.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barruelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 8
VIL
10%
15%
75%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
UDB
1 - 2
CDF
10%
15%
75%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 2
VDB
17%
19%
64%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GRI
5 - 2
UDB
59%
18%
23%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 3
ATA
16%
18%
66%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GRI
1 - 2
CAS
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
BAL
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
CAS
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
MON
25%
22%
54%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CDV
1 - 1
CAS
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |