UD Alameda vs Villanueva de la Concepcion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Alameda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
TOT
2 - 0
ALA
69%
15%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 2
ARC
49%
21%
30%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FOU
4 - 1
ALA
35%
21%
45%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 0
COM
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
UDH
3 - 1
ALA
19%
18%
63%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Villanueva de la Concepcion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 1
FOU
30%
21%
49%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
COM
1 - 3
CDV
41%
22%
38%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CDV
3 - 3
UDH
50%
21%
30%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CUE
5 - 1
CDV
46%
21%
34%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CDV
1 - 1
TAP
36%
21%
43%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |