Unión Comercio vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 1
COM
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
SAM
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 0
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
3 - 3
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COM
0 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UTC
1 - 0
ALI
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 0
UTC
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
UTC
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
UTC
2 - 2
MUN
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
HUA
2 - 2
UTC
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |