Unión Comercio vs San Simón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
LEO
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
AYA
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 0
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SPC
5 - 2
COM
74%
17%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 1
SAN
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
GAR
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 3
AUR
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALI
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |