Unión Comercio vs Cusco FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
COM
52%
25%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
COM
2 - 3
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SBO
0 - 1
COM
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
COB
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
LEO
7 - 1
COM
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
GAR
1 - 0
VAL
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
GAR
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
GAR
2 - 0
MEL
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
GAR
1 - 0
LEO
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
GAR
41%
29%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |