Unión Comercio vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
COM
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
COM
4 - 0
LOS
72%
18%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 0
COM
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
COM
4 - 0
SRP
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
LLA
0 - 3
COM
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 1
COM
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AUN
3 - 1
AUR
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AUR
4 - 1
UNI
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
LOS
0 - 0
AUR
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 1
SFC
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |