Unión Comercio vs José Gálvez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
SPC
2 - 0
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
CIE
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
AYA
0 - 0
COM
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
COM
0 - 0
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 1
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
GAL
0 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 3
GAL
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
GAL
2 - 2
GAR
32%
30%
38%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
GAL
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 1
UNI
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |