Unión Comercio vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 0
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SPC
5 - 2
COM
74%
17%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
COM
2 - 2
GAR
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
COM
2 - 0
HUA
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 3
SPC
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GAR
4 - 0
AYA
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AYA
4 - 0
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
AUR
3 - 1
AYA
59%
22%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
AYA
2 - 4
UTC
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |