Unión Comercio vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 1
COM
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
COM
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
COM
4 - 0
LOS
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LEO
4 - 3
COM
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
ALI
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 0
LOS
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 2
MEL
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 0
CIE
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 1
MEL
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 0
CIE
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |