Unión Comercio vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
COM
3 - 0
AUR
48%
27%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
COM
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
GAR
1 - 0
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
SAM
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 3
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 2
VAL
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
MEL
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 1
MEL
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 1
UNI
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SBO
1 - 1
MEL
40%
26%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |