Unión Comercio vs Defensor La Bocana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 0
COM
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
MUN
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
COM
2 - 2
AUR
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 1
COM
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
MEL
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 3
VAL
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
BOC
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
SPC
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 3
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GAR
4 - 2
BOC
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |