Unión Comercio vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AUN
1 - 1
COM
23%
27%
51%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
COM
4 - 0
AUR
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
COM
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
COM
4 - 0
LOS
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 0
COM
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
COM
3 - 1
AUN
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 1
COM
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
COM
3 - 1
UNI
39%
24%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LOS
0 - 0
COM
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
SFC
50%
24%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |