Unión Comercio vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
COM
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
AUR
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AYA
2 - 1
COM
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
UTC
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 1
COM
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
MEL
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
HUA
2 - 1
COM
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -3 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
COM
4 - 1
BOC
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
COM
56%
26%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |