Unión Comercio vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 3
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 0
COM
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
COM
2 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HUA
2 - 1
COM
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 1
LOS
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 0
CIE
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 1
UTC
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 0
HUA
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALI
5 - 0
CIE
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |