Unión Comercio vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 1
COM
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
GAR
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COM
5 - 2
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
GAR
2 - 1
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COM
2 - 0
HUA
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 2
ALI
36%
28%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 1
ALI
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 2
VAL
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
SPC
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 1
ALI
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |