Unión Comercio vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 1
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
COM
3 - 2
MEL
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
COM
3 - 0
AUR
48%
27%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
COM
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
GAR
1 - 0
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
GAR
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
ALI
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
GAL
0 - 2
ALI
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |