Unión Comercio vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 0
COM
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
SBO
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
COM
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
COM
1 - 2
MEL
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
COB
1 - 0
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
SBO
0 - 5
ALI
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
MEL
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
HUA
0 - 2
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 1
LEO
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAM
4 - 0
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |