Unión Comercio vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
AUR
2 - 0
COM
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
COM
2 - 1
SRP
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
SFC
3 - 4
COM
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
LOS
0 - 1
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
COM
1 - 1
COM
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 1
SFC
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ALI
0 - 0
UNI
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
PIR
1 - 2
ALI
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ALI
3 - 1
SCJ
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
SRP
1 - 3
ALI
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |