Unión Comercio vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 1
COM
56%
23%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
UNI
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
COM
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
COM
3 - 2
ALI
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AYA
1 - 1
COM
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
SPC
25%
26%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPO
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 2
ALI
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 2
LEO
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |