Unión Comercio vs Alfonso Ugarte de Puno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
GAR
4 - 1
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
COM
2 - 3
COM
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
COM
3 - 1
AUN
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 1
COM
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
COM
4 - 0
UNI
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 0
COM
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 1
AUN
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
AUR
4 - 3
ALF
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ALF
1 - 1
UNI
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
LOS
2 - 1
ALF
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |