Unión Comercial vs Universidad Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
34%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 1
COM
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
COM
1 - 2
CAN
60%
20%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 1
COM
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
FRE
39%
21%
40%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
VCD
0 - 5
COM
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 3
UNI
37%
25%
39%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
FRE
35%
23%
42%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
GIN
2 - 0
UNI
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 0
ATL
45%
24%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SIE
2 - 1
UNI
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |