U.Comercial vs Mosconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VCD
2 - 1
COM
42%
24%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
COM
5 - 0
COL
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
REA
4 - 0
COM
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
COM
3 - 0
AST
65%
19%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 2
ATL
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mosconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
AND
0 - 0
MOS
28%
26%
46%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 1
FRE
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AST
0 - 0
MOS
43%
25%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ROC
0 - 5
MOS
48%
24%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |