Unión Comercial vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
35.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BAR
0 - 0
COM
53%
21%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
REA
1 - 0
COM
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
COM
6 - 0
MUR
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
COM
1 - 2
UNI
44%
22%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 1
COM
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
REA
2 - 1
LUA
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LUA
1 - 0
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAN
1 - 1
LUA
28%
24%
47%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LUA
1 - 1
FRE
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GIN
0 - 3
LUA
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |