Unión Comercial vs La Fresneda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
VCD
0 - 5
COM
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
GIN
22%
21%
58%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
NAV
3 - 0
COM
50%
24%
26%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
COM
1 - 3
ATL
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AST
3 - 3
COM
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GIN
4 - 1
FRE
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
ATL
61%
21%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SIE
2 - 0
FRE
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
LLA
73%
17%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
PDV
0 - 2
FRE
52%
21%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |