Unión Comercial vs Real Tapia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
4 - 1
UCO
32%
24%
44%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MAD
3 - 1
UCO
44%
24%
33%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 3
COL
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 0
UCO
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 3
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Tapia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TAP
0 - 3
COL
35%
26%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SIE
4 - 0
TAP
65%
20%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TAP
4 - 2
RAY
21%
21%
58%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CAN
3 - 1
TAP
49%
25%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 1
TAP
45%
26%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |