Unión Comercial vs Nalón CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 1
UCO
33%
25%
42%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 0
AST
38%
25%
37%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
AVI
2 - 0
UCO
61%
23%
17%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
UCO
2 - 1
ATL
33%
25%
43%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
RTI
3 - 0
UCO
73%
17%
10%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nalón CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
NAL
0 - 0
AST
27%
25%
48%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NAL
2 - 4
TIN
50%
23%
27%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LLA
0 - 2
NAL
49%
24%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
NAL
1 - 1
AST
24%
22%
53%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 0
NAL
61%
21%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |