Unión Comercial vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 0
UCO
52%
23%
25%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 0
L20
34%
26%
40%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 1
TIN
33%
24%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 0
UCO
43%
24%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 1
CLA
44%
23%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LUA
1 - 3
COL
29%
25%
46%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 1
LUA
65%
20%
16%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
RAY
3 - 1
LUA
64%
20%
17%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LUA
1 - 1
CAN
31%
27%
42%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 2
LUA
25%
23%
52%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |