Unión Comercial vs Llaranes CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
AST
1 - 0
UCO
51%
23%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 1
CAN
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
UCO
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 2
ROC
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
BER
0 - 4
UCO
31%
24%
46%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Llaranes CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 1
TIN
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
POD
4 - 1
LLA
74%
15%
12%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
AST
5 - 1
LLA
45%
24%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 0
CAN
70%
18%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
COL
1 - 2
LLA
51%
22%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |