Unión Comercial vs EI San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UDL
5 - 0
UCO
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 0
TAP
30%
24%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
4 - 1
UCO
32%
24%
44%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MAD
3 - 1
UCO
44%
24%
33%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
UCO
0 - 3
COL
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
EI San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ESM
1 - 2
COL
43%
23%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 0
ESM
54%
21%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ESM
2 - 1
RAY
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 2
ESM
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ESM
1 - 0
LUA
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |