CUC Villalba vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
15º
14º
16
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
31% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CUC Villalba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 3
CVI
60%
23%
18%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CVI
0 - 2
RVB
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GAL
2 - 0
CVI
58%
21%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LRZ
0 - 0
CVI
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CVI
0 - 0
ALC
28%
25%
46%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
CAN
37%
26%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
POZ
1 - 0
ARA
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 0
GET
14%
22%
64%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
CDE
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RMA
4 - 1
ARA
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |