UC Ceares vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Ceares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
COL
0 - 2
CEA
49%
25%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CEA
1 - 0
MAR
23%
25%
52%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
TUI
1 - 1
CEA
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 1
LEN
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SIE
2 - 1
CEA
32%
25%
44%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AVI
0 - 1
ROB
15%
22%
63%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 2
AVI
23%
23%
55%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 0
AVI
24%
23%
54%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
AVI
0 - 2
UPL
12%
20%
68%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
AVI
1 - 4
LLA
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |