UC Ceares vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
64.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
14º
12º
43
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Ceares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
UDL
3 - 2
CEA
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 1
LEN
34%
27%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 3
UDL
16%
23%
61%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
LEN
3 - 0
CEA
39%
27%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 2
CDM
22%
25%
53%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
UPL
2 - 1
LEA
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 0
LEA
34%
27%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SPB
0 - 1
LEA
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
LEA
3 - 2
LLA
55%
25%
20%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
URR
0 - 0
LEA
15%
23%
63%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |