UC Ceares vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
64.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
14º
12º
43
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Ceares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
UDL
3 - 2
CEA
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 1
LEN
34%
27%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 3
UDL
16%
23%
61%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
LEN
3 - 0
CEA
39%
27%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 2
CDM
22%
25%
53%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
UPL
2 - 1
LEA
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 0
LEA
34%
27%
40%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SPB
0 - 1
LEA
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
LEA
3 - 2
LLA
55%
25%
20%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
URR
0 - 0
LEA
15%
23%
63%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |