Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
UC Ceares vs Águilas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Ceares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 1
CEA
57%
23%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LUA
0 - 3
CEA
15%
24%
61%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 1
LEN
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PRA
1 - 1
CEA
45%
26%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CEA
0 - 2
CUD
41%
26%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 1
CEA
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 4
LAU
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
JUM
1 - 1
AGU
38%
26%
37%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
EGP
1 - 3
AGU
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AGU
3 - 1
CFC
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |