Unión La Calera vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
COB
4 - 3
ULC
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ULC
0 - 1
COB
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ULC
1 - 0
SWA
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
NUB
1 - 3
ULC
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ULC
1 - 2
IQU
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 2
UNI
38%
26%
35%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 3
UCO
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
USF
51%
26%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCO
55%
23%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 2
SWA
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |