Unión La Calera vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ULC
1 - 0
EVE
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 1
ULC
16%
22%
63%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ULC
0 - 0
MAG
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ULC
3 - 0
CSL
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
COQ
0 - 0
ULC
46%
28%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 1
UCO
12%
19%
68%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
UCO
1 - 0
EVE
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SPC
2 - 1
UCO
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
UCO
1 - 2
COQ
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
COB
2 - 2
UCO
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |