Apertura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Unión La Calera vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
SWA
1 - 1
ULC
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ULC
2 - 0
NUB
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
IQU
1 - 0
ULC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ULC
0 - 0
HUA
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
OHI
2 - 0
ULC
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
UCO
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
ACS
1 - 2
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
4 - 3
DLS
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
NUB
0 - 5
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |