Unión La Calera vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
DCO
1 - 1
ULC
24%
25%
50%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ULC
2 - 1
CUR
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ULC
3 - 0
IQU
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
ULC
4 - 2
COQ
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
ANT
1 - 1
ULC
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 4
ANT
40%
26%
33%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
IQU
3 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DCO
3 - 4
SAN
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
COQ
2 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 3
CUR
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |