Union Bremen vs Werder Bremen III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
11º
5º
15
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GEE
1 - 2
UNI
69%
16%
15%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 4
OBE
38%
21%
41%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SGA
2 - 1
UNI
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 2
BTN
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
LEH
0 - 3
UNI
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
WER
3 - 1
LEH
24%
20%
56%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRI
3 - 0
WER
92%
6%
2%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WER
2 - 5
TSS
12%
16%
72%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SVH
7 - 1
WER
81%
11%
8%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
WER
2 - 2
OSC
11%
15%
74%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |