Union Bremen vs Vatan Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
39%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
11º
5º
37
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OSC
3 - 2
UNI
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 1
WER
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GEE
1 - 2
UNI
69%
16%
15%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 4
OBE
38%
21%
41%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SGA
2 - 1
UNI
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VAT
2 - 1
LEH
71%
17%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 1
VAT
81%
12%
8%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VAT
4 - 0
TSS
30%
23%
47%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 2
VAT
51%
20%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VAT
5 - 0
BLU
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |