Union Bremen vs TuS Komet Arsten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
13º
8º
19
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TRB
0 - 2
UNI
61%
19%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 7
WER
11%
17%
72%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 1
UNI
74%
14%
12%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 3
WOL
66%
17%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
OSC
32%
21%
47%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TKA
2 - 6
OSC
7%
12%
82%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 1
TKA
91%
7%
3%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 2
VAT
20%
20%
61%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 0
TKA
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
TKA
0 - 5
SVH
7%
12%
82%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |